In this work project, we will develop two sets of alternative and extreme scenario assumptions for Europe, simulating their effects on regional and national GDP growth, employment growth, regional inequalities and skills composition, and extrapolating future trends to support policy recommendations in WP7.
We will build the scenarios based on different assumptions regarding how the main driving forces of change play out in the medium to long run, drawing lessons from past economic crises. Separately, we will create scenarios on the basis of different assumptions regarding how companies choose production technologies. We will then compare the two models’ results, preparing the ground for policy recommendations in WP7, and simulate the results of various policies. This WP will yield a report on the results of the scenarios with and without policy simulations, and two research papers, on:
technological transformations and regional inequalities: Europe in 15 years’ time
digital skills and competences: future needs in different sectors
WP6 leader: POLIMI
Contact Person: Roberta Capello
Partners involved: KU Leuven, LISER, IBS, WIIW, ZSI, ESRI, UNIPG, POLIMI.