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    UNTANGLED CONFERENCE TO TAKE PLACE ON 9 NOVEMBER

    We will talk about the implications of technological transformation, globalisation and demographic change for:

    • Heterogenous impacts of mega trends on labour market outcomes
    • Work related migration and skills
    • Education and future skill needs, productivity growth
    • (Regional/Rural-urban) convergence/divergence, EU economic governance, trade
    • Technology and human capital
    • (Wage/regional) inequality, social policy
    • Covering the combined impact of two or more of the driving forces – technological transformation, globalisation, and demographic change – is considered an added value.

    All the detailed information is in the Call for Papers below. Any queries can be emailed to Ilse Tobback at: ilse.tobback@kuleuven.be

     

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    UNTANGLED RESEARCH TO BE DISCUSSED AT IAB CONFERENCE

     

    During the session titled “Structural change and automation”, Lewandowski will speak about the paper The Drivers of Income Inequality in Europe – Automation, co-authored with UNTANGLED researchers Karina Doorley (ESRI), Jan Gromadzki (IBS), Dora Tuda (ESRI) and Philippe Van Kerm (LISER).

     

    Albinowski will present The impact of technology on labour market outcomes of demographic groups in Europe, written together with Lewandowski, at the poster session “Labour market outcomes and technology in Europe”.

    Conference details here

     

     

     

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    WOMEN OVER 60, MEN AGED 30-49 MOST VULNERABLE TO TECH DISRUPTION IN EUROPE WORKFORCE

     

    Maciej Albinowski and Piotr Lewandowski of Poland’s Institute for Structural Research (IBS) analysed demographic and industry-level data in 14 European economies between 2010 and 2018, finding that robotisation and ICT have altered the demographic structure of employment in Europe. Among those benefitting from the digital revolution that’s reshaping European economies, young and middle-aged women(20-49 years old) are the biggest winners, the study found.

     

    “We found that technology adoption has significant effects on the employment shares of various demographic groups, while the effects on wages are statistically insignificant,” said Maciej Albinowski. “Investment in ICT played a visibly larger role in explaining changes in the demographic structure of employment in Europe than robot adoption.”

     

    The study’s findings are important for calibrating public policies, including the support for lifelong learning and the design of pension systems, as the digitalisation of European economies accelerates. Thus far little has been known about the impact of technological disruption on various gender and age groups, even as the value of ICT capital per worker in Europe increased by 91% from 2000 to 2019, while robot exposure, measured by the number of industrial robots per 1,000 workers, jumped by 140%.

     

    The two types of technology affected demographic groups differently. ICT investments endangered the jobs of women employees over 60, while robots ended up taking jobs from male workers aged 30-49.

     

    “The negative effects of ICT investments on older women may be explained by lower IT literacy in this group,” Lewandowski said. “Meanwhile, the negative employment effects of robot adoption are concentrated among men aged 20-49 performing routine manual tasks. Fortunately, the overall effects of technology adoption on men aged 20-29 are neutralized by the fact that they manage to find employment in other types of occupations.”

     

    Maciej Albinowski, Piotr Lewandowski (2022). The impact of ICT and robots on labour market outcomes of demographic groups in Europe (Deliverable 3.1). Leuven: UNTANGLED project 1001004776 – H2020.

     

    The paper is available here

     

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    OUR FOURTH VIRTUAL CAFÉ WAS TRULY GLOBAL

    More than 20 participants from three continents came together online to discuss labour-market issues during the fourth edition of the UNTANGLED Open Virtual Expert Café on 31 August. Attendees were drawn from academia, research institutes and social partners.

    To find out more, please visit our events section.

    The date of the next Café will be announced soon. Please check our website and social media for announcements.

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    DIGITALISATION IS NOT KILLING JOBS IN EU, ANOTHER UNTANGLED STUDY FINDS

     

    The impact of technology on employment levels has attracted a great deal of attention in recent years and various studies suggested that automation led to job losses. A recent study by Untangled researcher Robert Stehrer of the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) rebuts these claims.

     

    Stehrer analysed labour data from 27 European economies in the period from 2010 to 2018, using inputs from the EU KLEMS database and national accounts, and found that investments in information and communication technologies (ICT) and in automation did not eliminate jobs or led to a decline in share that labour take in total income.

     

    “The threat of a robocalypse is unfounded, at least in Europe,” Stehrer said. “Overall, the impact of digitalisation on the employment level in Europe is insignificant or even slightly positive. So technology is not killing jobs, and is not driving the labour income share down.”

     

    More detailed analysis shows that certain groups of workers can in fact benefit from digitalisation, as demand for their skills has increased. In particular, middle-aged persons and those with secondary education may benefit.

     

    Stehrer also looked at how different types of investments affect demand for labour and wages. He found that outlays on software and databases increase income, while demand for jobs is also correlated with investments in more traditional asset types, such as transport equipment and other machinery, and non-intangible assets, particularly advertising and market research.

     

    Robert Stehrer (2022). The impact of ICT and intangible capital accumulation on labour demand growth and functional income shares (Deliverable 4.1). Leuven: UNTANGLED project 1001004776 – H2020.

     

    The paper is available here

     

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    UNTANGLED TO HOLD OPEN VIRTUAL EXPERT CAFÉ ON 31 AUGUST

    This is an open format driven by participants’ contributions. It can be a platform for you to promote an ongoing project or research, tap into attendants’ collective intelligence for a specific question or simply to enjoy a dynamic thematic conversation. It is an informal online gathering among colleagues (or those to be), to enable exchange between experts, researchers and stakeholders from the fields of digitalisation, globalisation, migration, work, employment, skills etc. and promote exchange and communication among them.

    Participants are kindly asked to register and decide if they want to actively contribute or just listen and discuss.

    Active contributions consist in one slide (to be submitted to untangled@zsi.at beforehand) and a 5-minute presentation (“elevator pitch”). Listening, receiving information and asking questions is just as welcome. Further contact and networking is up to participants. Collections of slides and announcements will be shared among participants and/or publicly.

    Contributions can be:

    • any information on an ongoing initiative, project or a result,
    • a future-oriented announcement (call for papers, event invitation, search for collaborators)
    • a question asked of participants.
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    DESPITE FEARS, INCENTIVE PAY DOESN’T WIDEN GENDER PAY GAP, UNTANGLED STUDY FINDS

     

    Incentive pay schemes (IPS) are remuneration policies that tie an employee’s salary to their performance and meeting goals or objectives. Companies adopt these policies to elicit more effort from workers, improving the organisation’s performance. As employers strive to boost productivity, the adoption of IPS intensifies, and because IPS tend to increase intra-firm wage disparities, many scholars and policy makers have feared that their growing popularity may fuel a further widening of gender pay gap.

     

    As part of Project UNTANGLED, which investigates the impact of technology on the labour market, Cristiano Perugini and Fabrizio Pompei compared the wages of men and women in the same company, occupation or position to see whether IPS affect salary disparities. Using data from the Structure of Earning Surveys (SES), they analysed the wages of more than 6 million workers employed in 142,251 companies in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and the UK.

     

    Perugini and Pompei found that female workers, who accounted for 47% of their sample, on average earned 12.5% less than their male counterparts. The firm-level gender gap was the broadest in the UK, at 16% in the UK, and the narrowest in Italy (9.5%). Combining these data with information on adoption of IPS they found that a greater prevalence of IPS in a company narrows the gender pay gap.

     

    “There are a number of factors that can trigger a wage gap, and in our analysis we controlled for their impact,” said Cristiano Perugini. “In companies with performance-based remuneration the pay gap shrinks. This is probably because these companies attract a specific type of female worker, that is women who have similar skills, potential, ambitions to men and who are less constrained by household workloads. At the same time, these employers have better screening and monitoring tools to prevent discrimination.”

     

    Perugini and Pompei also found that the IPS are more often adopted by innovative organisations, where incentivising workers’ performance is vital to success. However, the positive effect of IPS on reducing gender pay gap varies between industries and, as the study finds, is related to the investments in ICT and intangible assets. The gap narrows only in firms that invest less in technology.

     

    The authors point out that more intensive investments in ICT, R&D, and brand development result in unpredictable working time, which make it more difficult for women to reconcile work and household responsibilities and thus reduce their chances to reach their targets. As a result, female employees earn less than their male counterparts.

     

    “Our study shows that it is not the IPS per se that exacerbate gender pay inequality, but the specific technological context in which they are implemented,” Fabrizio Pompei said. “This calls for policy arrangements aimed at changing the allocation across genders of unpaid work, as suggested by the Work-Life Balance Directive.”

     

    The Directive, which EU member states must implement by 2 August 2022, introduces a set of legislative measures to support work-life balance for parents and carers, encourage a more equal sharing of parental leave between men and women and address women’s underrepresentation in the labour market.

     

    The paper has been presented by Cristiano Perugini in a seminar held on the July 24 at the Chukyo University in Nagoya (Japan), supported by the Kansai University Fund for the “Theoretical and empirical research on the firm heterogeneity and the international economy”. Hosts: Fukuda Katsufumi (Chukyo University, Nagoya) and Kunihiro Hanabusa (Kansai University, Osaka)

     

     

    Cristiano Perugini, Fabrizio Pompei (2022). What drives the wage gap of vulnerable workers? Pay incentives, intangibles and gender wage inequality (Deliverable 4.2). Leuven: UNTANGLED project 1001004776 – H2020. 

     

    The paper is available here

     

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    UNTANGLED SEEKS PAPERS FOR 9 NOVEMBER CONFERENCE FEATURING ANNA SALOMONS

    Please submit full papers or extended abstracts to Ilse Tobback at: ilse.tobback@kuleuven.be.

    We welcome contributions addressing the implications of technological transformation, globalisation and demographic change for:

    • Heterogenous impacts of mega trends on labour market outcomes
    • Work related migration and skills
    • Education and future skill needs, productivity growth
    • (Regional/Rural-urban) convergence/divergence, EU economic governance, trade
    • Technology and human capital
    • (Wage/regional) inequality, social policy
    • Covering the combined impact of two or more of the driving forces – technological transformation, globalisation, and demographic change – is considered an added value.

    All the detailed information is in the Call for Papers below. Any queries can be emailed to Ilse Tobback at: ilse.tobback@kuleuven.be

     

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    BACHMANN AND GONSCHOR’S PAPER PUBLISHED IN IZA INSTITUTE DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES

     

    “Technological Progress, Occupational Structure and Gender Gaps in the German Labour Market” analyses how changes in the occupational structure attributed to technological progress have influenced the relative position of women in the German labour market from 1985 to 2017.

     

    The authors find that the share of women working in high-paying occupations, mainly performing non-routine cognitive jobs, has increased strongly in recent decades. However, their wages have not risen to the degree that would be expected. Even though women work in high-paying occupations, they earn less than their male colleagues in the same positions. The results indicate that technological progress has the potential to benefit women, but this potential is not fully realised.

     

    Ronald Bachmann, Myrielle Gonschor, Technological Progress, Occupational Structure and Gender Gaps in the German Labour Market, IZA DP No. 15419, July 2022

    The article can be downloaded from: https://docs.iza.org/dp15419.pdf

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    LEWANDOWSKI ARTICLE PUBLISHED IN THE WORLD BANK ECONOMIC REVIEW

    “Technology, Skills, and Globalization: Explaining International Differences in Routine and Nonroutine Work Using Survey Data” analyses the extent to which the same jobs performed in different countries involve different tasks. Using survey data from 47 countries, Lewandowski and co-authors Albert Park, Wojciech Hardy, Yang Du and Saier Wu found evidence confirming substantial cross-country differences in the content of work within occupations. In particular, they find that work in poorer countries is more routine-intensive, especially in high-skilled occupations.

     

    The authors also show that most of the international differences in the intensity of routine tasks can be attributed to differences in technology use (computers, ICT, robots), followed by the supply of skills – both of which are lower in less developed countries – and then by globalization.

     

    Piotr Lewandowski, Albert Park, Wojciech Hardy, Yang Du, Saier Wu, Technology, Skills, and Globalization: Explaining International Differences in Routine and Nonroutine Work Using Survey Data, The World Bank Economic Review, 2022;, lhac005, https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhac005

     

    2021 © UNTANGLED. All rights reserved.
    This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 101004776

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